Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 2.874054 3.317421 3.807599 4.389945 5.063289 5.817838 6.728219
2024-11-03 2.325688 2.916169 3.625320 4.540680 5.692605 7.096490 8.941125
2024-11-10 1.973230 2.659530 3.545533 4.775428 6.442751 8.630747 11.730946
2024-11-17 1.659838 2.386144 3.386352 4.868327 7.016340 10.029310 14.599686
2024-11-24 1.396337 2.127550 3.194973 4.872729 7.456646 11.307350 17.523301
2024-12-01 1.148293 1.844177 2.915122 4.691149 7.581703 12.133918 19.912238
2024-12-08 0.949835 1.600553 2.651505 4.482135 7.616408 12.809424 22.160060
2024-12-15 0.842138 1.484363 2.569559 4.549055 8.103577 14.281192 25.968855
2024-12-22 0.725104 1.332208 2.401763 4.437746 8.258636 15.200219 28.951428
2024-12-29 0.680301 1.300608 2.438052 4.693902 9.111139 17.486571 34.832172
2025-01-05 0.627791 1.245816 2.422436 4.847684 9.790342 19.547208 40.619807
2025-01-12 0.567078 1.165411 2.345425 4.867483 10.204709 21.148399 45.740425
2025-01-19 0.484928 1.032227 2.150527 4.629538 10.078623 21.688296 48.844104
2025-01-26 0.455002 1.003258 2.164055 4.833426 10.929374 24.428660 57.308510
2025-02-02 0.433871 0.989986 2.208831 5.113652 11.999029 27.832429 67.954847
2025-02-09 0.402157 0.947983 2.184275 5.232735 12.719988 30.568942 77.545379
2025-02-16 0.367066 0.892578 2.120850 5.249843 13.201011 32.822141 86.377033
2025-02-23 0.323670 0.810462 1.982467 5.061483 13.141721 33.744461 91.954158
2025-03-02 0.284202 0.731830 1.840503 4.840214 12.958899 34.319198 96.703643
2025-03-09 0.264926 0.701607 1.814348 4.915516 13.573249 37.082573 108.077836
2025-03-16 0.238416 0.648360 1.721401 4.796875 13.638895 38.378341 115.498304
2025-03-23 0.232136 0.648670 1.769416 5.075390 14.871647 43.138788 134.186996
2025-03-30 0.221412 0.635024 1.777689 5.242710 15.812679 47.229801 151.664606